Decision trees
Separate choices from uncertain outcomes so conditional costs and payoffs can be compared.
Reference · Guide · Foundation
Compare feasible choices
Agree criteria, constraints and who owns the decision.
Understand
Feedback and systems thinking
Examine how feedback, delays and system boundaries shape a problem over time.
Reference · Guide · Foundation
Project complexity assessment
Examine interactions, uncertainty and constraints that make delivery hard to predict.
Reference · Guide · Foundation
Analytic hierarchy process
Use structured pairwise judgements to explore the relative priority of alternatives and criteria.
Reference · Guide · Advanced
Portfolio selection under constraints
Select a feasible combination of initiatives rather than simply ranking projects independently.
Reference · Guide · Foundation
Calculate
Weighted option scoring
Make option ratings and criterion weights visible and comparable.
Tool · Calculator + guide · Applied
Original sources
Cynefin®
Explore how the nature of a situation affects the way decisions are made.
Framework · Source pointer · Foundation