Assumptions and method

When to be cautious

Use the same system boundary and period, with stable long-run averages. This is not a guaranteed date for one item.

Average cycle time = average WIP / average throughput

Test a scenario

Use your own inputs

Inputs stay in your browser. Shared scenario links include your inputs.

Use the result in a decision

Use consistent workflow boundaries and observation periods.

Use the same system boundary and period, with stable long-run averages. This is not a guaranteed date for one item.

Set a baseline and change one assumption to compare outcomes.

A worked example

Follow the fixed teaching example
  1. Use the same workflow boundary and period for both averages.
  2. Average cycle time = 12 items / 3 items per day = 4 days.

These illustrative inputs describe a project scenario, not a published benchmark. All monetary inputs use the same currency and price basis.

Average work in progress (items)
12
Average throughput (items/day)
3
Implied average cycle time
4 days

Interpret the output only within the assumptions above. Changing the inputs changes the result; it does not validate the inputs.

Source & credit

John D. C. Little, A Proof for the Queuing Formula: L = λW (1961).

John D. C. Little (1961): original proof

This is independently written code and explanation of the underlying method. The linked publication, its diagrams and its trademarks remain its owner’s material; no permission to reuse them is implied.

Learn and apply

Explore flow: guides, calculations and sources