When to use it

Use it before implementation when a later impact claim will matter.

When to be cautious

A before/after difference or observational regression alone does not establish causality.

Apply it

  1. Define the evaluative question and plausible counterfactual.
  2. Select an ethical, feasible design and record its identification assumptions.
  3. Examine data quality, implementation and alternative explanations alongside outcomes.

An example in practice

A processing-time improvement coincides with a demand decline. Use a suitable comparison and process evidence before attributing the whole difference to the project.

Source & credit

Evaluation practice has multiple research traditions. This is an authoritative later guide, not a claim of sole invention.

HM Treasury: The Magenta Book

This explanation and example are independently written. The source is a reading reference; linking it does not grant permission to reuse its text, figures or assessments.

Learn and apply

Explore evaluation: guides, calculations and sources